Countering Threats and Challenges Program

Decker Eveleth said, “the images [depicting damage at the Nevatim base including craters on the runway and taxiway] showed 32 impact points, including multiple hits in the area of F-35 hangers.”

Decker Eveleth said, “several of the missiles landed near hangers housing Israeli F-35 stealth fighter jets, with one possible direct hit.”

Decker Eveleth said, “It seems the strike on Mossad headquarters in Glilot was the least successful. We only saw two impacts, and the one impact that landed even remotely near the headquarters building did so about 520 meters away from the building itself.”

Decker Eveleth said, “Airbases are hard targets, and the sort of target that likely won’t produce many casualties. Iran could choose a different target – say, a densely packed IDF ground forces base, or a target within a civilian area – and a missile strike there would produce a large number of [casualties].

Decker Eveleth said, "This was indeed a straightforward overwhelm of Israeli missile defence. Israeli defence sites are not safe from Iranian attack, and if Iran so chose, they could choose a target that would be sure to generate Israeli military casualties.”

Decker Eveleth said, “these reveal “at least 33 likely impact craters, with likely more impacts currently obscured by clouds.” The total number of impacts is therefore probably closer to 40.”