In The News

Samuel Bendett says, “They understand that they needed those drones yesterday in large quantities."

Michael Kofman says “An offensive is risky. If it fails, the outcome could affect external support. On the other hand, Kyiv likely sees this as a window of opportunity, beyond which lies the uncertainty of a protracted war against a Russian army that has had time to entrench."

Michael Kofman says, "I think Russia is going to have significant challenges in trying to establish any sort of stable administration,”

Michael Kofman says, “We’re likely going to see an inflection point in this war, and there’s likely to be a Ukrainian counteroffensive. It’s just unclear what its chances of success are.”

Michael Kofman says, “Independent of what happens in the coming months, the U.S. likely anticipates it could be a protracted conflict.”

Samuel Bendett says, "We're in a state right now where it's more difficult to predict how sanctions are really going to impact Russia or their exports."

Samuel Bendett says, “Tehran could provide Russia with combat drones and loitering munitions — also known as “kamikaze” or “suicide” drones — to hit Ukrainian targets with better precision.”

Samuel Bendett says, “"It's clear the Ukrainians can't match the Russians unit for unit and soldier for soldier and Ukraine, like the Russians, is running out of soldiers. So Ukraine has to be very judicial in how they draw out the Russian forces."

Samuel Bendett says, “It’s not clear how “coordinated work in combat crews” differs from combat. And that blurs the line between civilians and troops and creates a new type of combatant.”

Samuel Bendett says, “Having a factory would be of major benefit to Ukraine and help to increase access to other types of drones produced by Baykar.”

Samuel Bendett says, “The most significant development has been the ability of the Ukrainian forces to launch long range strikes against Russia positions and target Russian military assets hundreds of kilometers away.”

Samuel Bendett says, “It's clear the Ukrainians can't match the Russians unit for unit and soldier for soldier. And Ukraine, like the Russians, is running out of soldiers.”

Jeffrey Edmonds says, "The best bet is there's a short-range ballistic missile that the Ukrainians had been working on.”

Michael Kofman says, “Russia will continue to face problems with soldiers refusing to fight, military, but one shouldn’t underestimate Russia’s ability to “muddle through ... with half-measures.”

Dmitry Gorenburg says, “The government in Kyiv has signaled for weeks that it intends to move on the city, which before the invasion was home to approximately 300,000. And while the Ukrainians' efforts have already helped recover some nearby villages, Russian units have taken notice.”

Samuel Bendett says, “In this sense, the main goal of the ‘Dronnitsa’ meet is to initiate the formation of such an instructor corps, to establish, in fact, a new specialty—an instructor in the combat use of UAVs, and to create a system for training such specialists.”