In The News

Michael Kofman says, “Russia's military intelligence agency, the GRU, "appears to have had a campaign across Europe to try to suppress the supply of munitions to Ukraine."

Samuel Bendett says, "We are currently witnessing a drone war. This is probably the first large-scale war where proprietary military and commercial drones are used so extensively."

Michael Kofman says, "The surprising aspect here is that Ukraine has chosen to reinforce as Russian forces inch closer to the city."

Samuel Bendett says, “In just the past several weeks, Russia has beefed up air defenses on the border and inside Ukraine.”

Samuel Bendett says, “The drones used in this war provide key ISR capability to all belligerents, along with guiding forces and munitions to targets.”

Ken Gause said that North Korea is “laying the groundwork for being able to deal with the blowback from North Korean actions probably coming in the future.”

Samuel Bendett says, “Building something that is small and cheap and also has capabilities to enable multifunctional capabilities is fairly difficult.”

Michael Kofman says, “Despite the precarious position, Ukraine has chosen to fight for these cities in an effort to exhaust Russian forces."

Michael Kofman says, “You have to judge it based on the strategies and the political objectives that you think these two actors are pursuing. For Russia, it’s very clear that seizing the administrative territories of the Donbas is their minimal goal.”

Jeffrey Edmonds says, "They're losing much more than they were in the early days of the war, because it's much more of a conventional war, with artillery duels.”

Michael Kofman says, “These efforts represent a form of shadow mobilization. These are piecemeal efforts that allow the Russian military to sustain itself in the war, but do not address the fundamental deficit in manpower."

Steve Wills says, “He sees similarities between Expeditionary Advanced Bases and the Marine Corps’ base defense forces on Wake Island and Midway in 1941 and 1942.”

Michael Kofman says, “In the last couple of weeks we have see fitful but incremental gains by the Russian Military.”

Samuel Bendett says This is probably the first large-scale war where proprietary military and commercial drones are used so extensively.”

Michael Kofman says, “The Russian military appears to have dramatically cut the infantry from its units, often with just two to three soldiers available for dismount in infantry fighting vehicles. These are structural issues.”

Jeffrey Edmonds says, says “There are four possible response scenarios, only two of which are plausible: Capitulate and sue for peace; stay the course with sanctions and pressure; mount a conventional attack to punish Russia; respond with a nuclear attack on Russia.”