In The News

Samuel Bendett says, “So I think what is happening right now is the major initiatives have stalled.”

Samuel Bendett says, “It’s likely that Orlan-10 represents a significant share of the pre-Feb 2022 Russian UAV [Uncrewed Aerial Vehicle] fleet - maybe up to a half.”

Michael Kofman says, “Artillery is very much the business of quantity the Russians are one of the largest artillery armies you can face.”

Michael Kofman says, “Just because you haven’t seen Russian cyberattacks or another form of retaliation against the United States in the war so far, doesn’t mean it won’t happen.”

Ken Gause says, “The approach taken by Biden and Yoon would make it difficult for North Korea to come to the negotiating table.”

Jessica Stern and Megan McBride wrote: By some counts, the horrific attack at a Buffalo supermarket was the second terrorist attack, and the 202nd mass shooting, that happened in the United States this year.

Jonathan Schroden says, “They had no ability to provide effective civilian oversite or guidance to the security sector.”

Dmitry Gorenburg says, “From the Russian point of view, it presents a real threat that their artillery can be taken out before it can even get in range to shoot.”

Ken Gause says, “Pyongyang’s weakened state makes it hesitant to accept outside help.”

Jessica Stern and Megan McBride wrote: By some counts, the horrific attack at a Buffalo supermarket was the second terrorist attack, and the 202nd mass shooting, that happened in the United States this year.

Samuel Bendett says, “This Orlan-10 refitting is relatively new, and there has not been additional information about Russian forces practicing with that combat Orlan-10 version apart from Zapad-2021 news. So it’s not clear what the level of competency is at this point.”

Michael Kofman says, “Ukrainians have also mined some of the land to funnel Russian forces onto the roads, where they are easier to target.”

Michael Kofman says, "I'm deeply skeptical of their prospects of conquering all of the Donbas.”

Samuel Bendett says, “The Ukrainian military had taken advantage of the fact that Russia did not control all the airspace and that it did not have persistent electronic warfare defences “with some very accurate and significant strikes”. But he added: “What is needed from their perspective is to do so on a much larger scale.”

Michael Kofman says, "As it stands, Russian options are shrinking the more they drag their feet, the further their ability to sustain the war deteriorates, and the worse their subsequent options."

Michael Kofman says, ‘They clearly lack the forces to be able to achieve this operational scheme.”