In The News

Dov Zakheim writes, “Even as Ukraine’s incursion into Russia’s Kursk region has prompted speculation surrounding the implications of Kyiv’s military successes for potential talks, Russian leaders have rejected negotiations amid assertions that Moscow won’t negotiate “under pressure.”

Samuel Bendett said, “If [Garpiya’s wreckage] is happening, it could indicate that Russia can now rely more on domestic development as well as, obviously, on China, since both sides in this war depend on many Chinese components for drone production

From 2016 to 2022, almost 1,300 public safety personnel, including police officers, across the country died by suicide, according to the First HELP and CNA Corporation report. That accounted for roughly 184 officers taking their own life each year.

Samuel Bendett said, “If Ukraine maintains pressure on Russian industrial and military sites and potential targets, that is going to have a significant consequence on how Russia fights.”

Dmitry Gorenburg writes, “In launching its offensive into Kursk, Ukraine took a serious risk by shaking up the war narrative and improving its position in a potential future negotiation. On the ground, the offensive has developed in a highly favorable way for Ukraine. However, it is still too early to tell whether that will result in strategic benefits for Ukraine’s overall war effort.”

Michael B. Petersen writes, “Scholarly explanations for why Russia would not invade Ukraine varied but tended to rely on utilitarian or instrumental factors. The invasion would be too costly to Moscow; international sanctions would annihilate the Russian economy; President Vladimir Putin’s domestic support would crumble; Russia would finally and fully become a pariah state; and Putin himself was not such a risky gambler.”

Some changes to the Alert Carolina system are based on the after-action report the University received from research and analysis organization, the Center for Naval Analyses, in May.

Samuel Bendett said, “I have not seen that particular drone application before, but [I'm] not surprised that Ukrainians are leading the charge once again since they have been the first to utilize many drones in novel ways throughout this conflict.”

Samuel Bendett said, “I do think once the weather changes, in the fall and the winter there won't be foliage to begin with, but right now as long as there's foliage that allows soldiers to hide under it, to place equipment under, to establish positions, storage facilities, this drone could be quite dangerous.”

While a Center for Naval Analyses report rightly notes the difficulty of quantifying Russia's nuclear threshold, it is in Washington's interest to avoid violating red lines that could allow the conflict in Ukraine to spiral out of control.

Decker Eveleth said, "[Satellite imagery identifying nine horizontal launch pads] are located in three groups inside high berms to shield them from attack or to prevent an accidental blast in one from detonating missiles in the others."

Samuel Bendett said, “I have not seen that particular drone application before, but [I’m] not surprised that Ukrainians are leading the charge once again since they have been the first to utilize many drones in novel ways throughout this conflict”

Decker Eveleth writes, “The Burevestnik is not a wonder weapon, and the challenges it poses for NATO security are neither new nor unmanageable. It may seem scary on paper, but the technical infeasibility of its mission limits its threat.”

Samuel Bendett said, “[the Ukranians] will probably get there before the Russians and possibly other militaries around the world.”

Decker Eveleth said, “[the site is designed] for a large, fixed missile system - and the only large, fixed missile system that they're currently developing is the Skyfall."

Jessica Dockstader said, "Once we know the scale of the problem, we can do something more about it. Once we know who's impacted, we can provide targeted programming, targeted interventions."