Population Representation 2004 - Active Component Enlisted Applicants and Accessions

ACTIVE COMPONENT ENLISTED APPLICANTS AND ACCESSIONS

AFQT. AFQT scores are the primary measure of recruit potential. Figure 2.6 indicates the percentage of NPS recruits who scored at or above the 50th percentile (Categories I–IIIA) since FY 1973. Numerical data are in Appendix D, Table D-8. The drop in Category I–IIIA recruits after FY 1976 was due primarily to the miscalibration of the ASVAB. [Footnote 28] In FY 1976, when new versions of the ASVAB were introduced, an error in calibrating the score scales made the new versions "easier" than the old versions (i.e., applicants received test scores higher than their actual ability). In FY 1980, an independent study of the calibration was made and the test was correctly calibrated. Then, Congress added legal provisions stipulating that no more than 20 percent of accessions could be in Category IV and that such accessions had to be high school diploma graduates. [Footnote 29] However, Defense Department guidance decreases this limit even further, allowing no more than 4 percent of recruits to come from Category IV.

Figure 2.6 shows FY 1977 as the low point and FY 1992 as the high point in accessing recruits in Categories I to IIIA. In FY 1977, 34 percent of accessions scored in the top half of the AFQT distribution. Only 13 percent of Blacks, 19 percent of Hispanics, and 20 percent of "Others" scored in Categories I–IIIA. [Footnote 30] Fifteen years later, in FY 1992, most minority accessions achieved scores in the I–IIIA range (Blacks - 56 percent, Hispanics - 67 percent, "Others" - 67 percent). Hispanics have shown the most marked increase, with a 48-percentage-point gain in Category I to IIIA accessions from FY 1977 to FY 1992.

A graphic view of the increasing trend in AFQT performance of accessions from FY 1973 through FY 1992 is provided in Figure 2.7. The more significant gains were in Categories I to IIIA, where the percentages increased from 47 percent in FY 1981 to 75 percent in FY 1992. Conversely, there has been a decline in the percentage of Category IIIB accessions. Most dramatic has been the decrease in accessions who score in Category IV—from 33 percent in FY 1979 to one percent or less since FY 1991. There was a gradual decline in the percentage of accessions in Categories I to IIIA from FY 1992 to FY 1999, from 75 to 65 percent. From FY 2002 to 2004, recruit quality increased from 69 to 73 percent in Categories I-IIIA.

Figure 2-6

Figure 2.6. Percentage of NPS accessions in AFQT categories I–IIIA, FYs 1974–2004.

Figure 2.7. Percentage of NPS accessions in AFQT categories I–IV, FYs 1974–2004.

The percentages of FY 2004 active duty NPS accessions in each AFQT category are shown in Table 2.11. The percentage of recruits in Categories I and II was slightly higher than their civilian counterparts (males - 46 versus 37 percent; females - 38 versus 34 percent). Category III accessions greatly exceeded civilian proportions (males - 53 versus 34 percent; females - 61 versus 35 percent), while the percentage of recruits in Category IV was much lower than in the civilian population (males – less than 1 percent versus 20 percent; females – less than 1 percent versus 22 percent). The low percentage of Category IV recruits is, in part, a result of DoD limits of 4 percent Category IV recruits, with even lower Service limits. Ten percent of civilian males and 9 percent of civilian females scored in Category V; DoD allows no Category V recruits.

Table 2.11. AFQT Scores of FY 2004 Active Component NPS Accessions, by Gender and Service (Percent)
AFQT Category¹	Army	Navy	Marine Corps	Air Force	DoD	18- to 23-Year-Old Civilians
MALES
I	7.2	7.1	5.3	8.2	7.0	8.1
II	37.0	38.1	37.3	46.8	39.0	29.0
IIIA	28.8	24.9	27.2	27.8	27.5	15.3
IIIB	26.0	29.9	29.5	16.3	25.8	18.4
IV	0.7	*	0.6	*	0.4	19.6
V/Unknowns	0.3	*	0.1	1.0	0.3	9.6
Total	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0
FEMALES
I	4.0	3.9	4.0	3.9	3.9	7.6
II	30.3	33.8	36.9	39.5	34.0	26.4
IIIA	29.7	32.1	31.7	34.1	31.5	15.8
IIIB	34.9	30.1	27.2	21.9	29.9	19.2
IV	0.8	0.0	0.2	0.0	0.4	21.9
V/Unknowns	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.6	0.3	9.2
Total	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0
Columns may not add to total due to rounding. * Less than one-tenth of one percent. ¹Civilian data include Category V. Service data include unknowns. Source: Defense Manpower Data Center.

In FY 2004, 73 percent of recruits scored at or above the 50th percentile on the AFQT (Categories I–IIIA). Air Force recruits scored higher than those of the other three Services. Eighty-two percent of Air Force recruits scored in Categories I–IIIA, compared to 71 percent of Army, 70 percent of Navy and Marine Corps recruits.

[Footnote 28] See two documents: Sims, W.H. and Truss, A.R., A Reexamination of the Normalization of Armed Services Vocational Aptitude Battery (ASVAB) Forms 6, 7, 6E, and 7E (Alexandria, VA: Center for Naval Analyses, September 1980); and Laurence, J.H. and Ramsberger, P.F., Low-Aptitude Men in the Military: Who Profits, Who Pays? (New York: Praeger, 1991).[back to paragraph]

[Footnote 29] 10 U.S.C. 520. [back to paragraph]

[Footnote 30] Data from Defense Manpower Data Center.[back to paragraph]

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