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The US Advances its Pacific Partnership Strategy in Micronesia

/our-media/indepth/2023/06/the-us-advances-its-pacific-partnership-strategy-in-micronesia

April Herlevi examines recent agreements between the US and Pacific Island nations and how they fit into the country’s Pacific Partnership Strategy.

Agency for International Development, funding digital connectivity, and initiating at least 20 other programs . Concluding the COFA negotiations enhances US credibility in the region and serves ... .” In short, US engagement in Micronesia is making important progress. Although Pacific Island nations do not always receive sufficient attention in international affairs and US foreign policy, a credible

Samoa Disputed Election Amid Great Power Rivalry

/our-media/indepth/2021/05/samoa-disputed-election-amid-great-power-rivalry

A disputed election has recently plunged Samoa into a state of constitutional crisis. The outcome of this dispute may reshape the small Pacific island country’s relations with China, the United States and U.S. allies in the region.

Washington and Beijing. Several U.S. allies—including Australia, New Zealand and Japan—play important roles in Samoa’s security and economic development. For one, both Australia and New Zealand ... distance from China’s proposed project in Vaiusu. The resident advisor of the Japan International Cooperation Agency called the Japanese government’s contributions to Samoa “immense,” citing other assistance, such as the construction of a university and the provision of experts for human resources development. Regardless of which Samoan party’s leader establishes undisputed control over

Lessons from the 2004 Tsunami Response

/our-media/indepth/2020/04/lessons-from-the-2004-tsunami-response

U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Stephen Biegun organized a conference call with close allies and partners to discuss the COVID-19 crisis and ways to coordinate their responses.

the headlines about the COVID-19 pandemic, a notable development may have escaped the attention of observers. U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Stephen Biegun organized a conference call with close allies ... , strategic-level competition with China over the rules and norms in international politics and economy. Notably, Biegun’s conference call did not include a representative from China, the source of the outbreak ... these nations will activate response forces such as militaries for international assistance. Still, a few lessons from the Tsunami Core Group cooperation are relevant to the COVID-19 crisis response. First

The U.S. is Close to a Deal with the Taliban: What’s Next?

/our-media/indepth/2020/02/the-us-is-close-to-a-deal-with-the-taliban-whats-next

Last Friday, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced on Twitter that the United States had officially "come to an understanding with the Taliban on a significant reduction in violence across Afghanistan."

the Stability and Development Program. Schroden is an expert on the Marine Corps, special operations forces, terrorism/counterterrorism, indigenous force development, security force assistance, foreign ... with a representative group of Afghans that includes members of the government. Pompeo called this development, “an important step on a long road to peace” — an apt way of describing the situation, since ... governments, the reintegration of Taliban fighters — potentially into the Afghan security forces — and the relationship of any post-peace government with the international community, including the continued

Weighing the Costs of War and Peace in Afghanistan

/our-media/indepth/2019/04/weighing-the-costs-of-war-and-peace-in-afghanistan

The U.S. Special Representative for Afghanistan Reconciliation, Amb. Zalmay Khalilzad, tweeted that "peace requires agreement on four issues: counter-terrorism assurances, troop withdrawal."

, and a comprehensive ceasefire … We’re now ‘agreed in draft’ on the first two." This is a positive development, as previously the two sides had been only "agreed in principle." The next step is for both sides ... of the international coalition in Afghanistan, nor by the Afghan government —  which totals several billion dollars more . And these are only direct costs, which fail to capture the opportunity costs ... , but  here again there are residual requirements  — perhaps $2 billion or more per year for continued support to Afghanistan’s security forces, and sizeable additional amounts in continued  development aid

cna talks: Domestic Terrorism in the United States

/our-media/podcasts/cna-talks/2018/cna-talks-domestic-terrorism-in-the-united-states

In the wake of the recent mailed pipe bombs and Pittsburgh synagogue mass shooting, CNA experts Bill Rosenau and Dawn Thomas discuss the historical context of domestic terrorism in America and the rise of the “lone wolf” and violent right-wing extremism over recent decades. They distinguish domestic terrorism from hate crimes and examine societal perceptions of the severity of each. They also review prevention and law enforcement responses to hate crimes and domestic terrorism. Rosenau notes that while terrorism is perceived as the more critical threat, Americans are more likely to be a victim of a hate crime. They also point out that if current systems have been unable to predict and identify perpetrators in recent years, it suggests the traditional risk factors may be outdated while modern technology and prediction tools are underutilized. Thomas questions why Americans are increasingly susceptible to malign influence, and Rosenau emphasizes the need for more academic study on domestic terrorism, as it poses a greater threat to American civilians than foreign terrorism.

Bill Rosenau   is an expert on United States and international military advisory roles and missions, international police training, terrorist innovation and political warfare. He is a Senior Policy Historian with CNA’s Center for Stability and Development and his recent research has examined threats, governance and diplomacy in Mexico, Guatemala, Colombia, Pakistan, Afghanistan, the Balkans

Ukraine’s Ripple Effect on Russia’s Indo-Pacific Horizon

/our-media/indepth/2023/01/ukraines-ripple-effect-on-russias-indo-pacific-horizon

Elizabeth Wishnick examines how Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has impacted the country’s economic and strategic prospects with the Asia-Pacific states.

China Studies Program . She is an expert in Sino-Russian relations, Asian security and Arctic geopolitics.   This article was originally published by the Danish Institute of International Studies ... to herald their country’s greater participation in the region, but Cold War tensions and the economic weakness of the Russian Far East would prevent this development. In 2012, when Russia hosted

The China- Russia ‘No Limits’ Partnership Is Still Going Strong

/our-media/indepth/2022/10/the-china-russia-no-limits-partnership-is-still-going-strong

Elizabeth Wishnick explores how the war in Ukraine has impacted China and Russia's partnership as well as the relationship between Xi and Putin.

regime security as their main priority and are determined to shape the international order in such a way that authoritarian states can be rule-makers. Just 20 days before Russia invaded Ukraine ... . Yang noted that, under Putin and Xi, Sino-Russian relations “have always maintained a momentum of vigorous development”. Despite the imposition of unprecedented sanctions on Russia

China-Russia Energy Relations

/our-media/indepth/2019/12/china-russia-energy-relations

Chinese president Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin inaugurated the Power of Siberia pipeline, which links the world's largest natural gas exporter to the world's largest natural gas importer.

and economic development,” according to a summary of the meeting posted on the website of China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Remind Washington that China has alternatives to U.S. LNG. The launch ... Novatek and its international partners (France’s Total, China’s CNPC and Silk Road Fund) completed the Yamal LNG project on time and on budget in December 2017 despite Western sanctions. CNPC has

Can Kim Jong Un Really Denuclearize?

/our-media/indepth/2019/04/can-kim-jong-un-realy-denuclearize

A fundamental question facing U.S. policymakers is whether North Korea intends to denuclearize. Most Pyongyang-watchers believe this is an impossibility, at least for the near term.

require first laying the foundation internally. Kim’s legitimacy is based on  Byungjin  — the dual development of the nuclear program and the economy. Since he has not made the economic piece ... and international community would follow through on any agreement. This would be difficult to pull off if North Korea had to agree to denuclearize on the front end; Kim could more easily agree