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Potential Environmental Impact from Fracking in the Delaware River Basin

/reports/2015/potential-environmental-impact-from-fracking-in-the-delaware-river-basin

This study aims to model the landscape of the Marcellus Shale region to predict how it may change in the future in response to the expansion of natural gas extraction, and, in particular, what impact this may have on the Delaware River Basin (DRB). Our approach combined geospatial analysis and statistical modeling to create a probability surface that predicts the most favorable locations for the placement of future wells based on the location of existing wells. Using the probability surface and an estimate of the number of wells that would be needed to fully exploit the shale resource, we estimated the future landscape of development in the Interior Marcellus Shale and DRB. Using affected subwatersheds and counties as study areas, we then investigated potential impacts associated with land cover, water and wastewater management, water quality due to changes in land cover, air emissions, and health risk factors. The results are intended to help decision-makers and the public

quality due to changes in land cover, air emissions, and health risk factors. The results are intended to help decision-makers and the public Hydraulic fracturing, or “fracking,” combined ... of wells. Few studies have considered multiple impacts, and no study has provided a reasonably complete, integrated regional environmental assessment of fracking. We aim to help fill this knowledge gap ... then investigated the potential impacts of this development on land cover, water and wastewater management, water quality, air emissions, and health risk factors in three DRB sub-watersheds. Our calculations were

Why the Emergency Management Community Should be Concerned about Climate Change

/reports/2010/why-the-emergency-management-community-should-be-concerned-about-climate-change

This report is one of several reports from CNA examining the impact of climate change on U.S. policy. This particular report focuses on the impact of climate change on comprehensive emergency management and preparedness policy. It seeks to outline key climate change issues for consideration from an emergency management perspective and begin a conversation on potential implications for the near-, medium-, and long-terms. It lays the foundation for future dialogue among emergency management practitioners from all levels of government to explore policy solutions in greater depth. The scientific foundation for much of the discussion in this report comes from the recently published report from the U.S. Global Change Research Program— Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States.

of natural hazards such as tropical cyclones, wildfires, floods, and winter storms. Thus, the historical data that are typically the basis of hazard identification and risk assessment may not accurately

Powering Americas Defense

/reports/2009/powering-americas-defense

To better inform U.S. policymakers and the pub- lic about the impact of America’s energy choices on national security policies, CNA, a nonprofit research organization that runs the Center for Naval Analyses and the Institute for Public Re- search, convened a panel of retired senior mili- tary officers and national security experts. The Military Advisory Board consists of retired generals and admirals from all four services, many of whom served on the Military Advisory Board that produced the 2007 report, National Security and the Threat of Climate Change. That report found that “climate change, national se- curity, and energy dependence are a related set of global challenges.” This new volume builds on that finding by con- sidering the security risks inherent in America’s current energy posture, energy choices the nation can make to enhance our national security, the impact of climate change on our energy choices and our national security, and the role DoD can play in the nation’s approach to energy security. These issues were viewed through the lens of the extensive military experience of the Military Ad- visory Board. The issues were considered solely for their impact on America’s national security.

National Intelligence Assessment confirmed the report finding that cli- mate change is a serious threat to national security and long-term global stability. The MAB, which is comprised of some ... will be shaped by finite supplies and increasing demand. Continuing our heavy reliance on these fuels is a security risk. Regulatory frameworks driven by climate change concerns will increase

Supply Chain Resilience Expertise at CNA

/centers-and-divisions/ipr/emo/supply-chain-resilience

/EMO/supply%20chain/Dock-Semis%20copy.webp none As a core member of the Supply Chain Analysis Network (SCAN), CNA contributes to the annual National Strategic Supply Chain Risk Analysis, presented to the FEMA administrator’s office in advance of each hurricane season since 2022. CNA also supports SCAN special investigations such as the National Fuel Ecosystem Assessment, which was commissioned

Using Exercises to Identify Election Security Risks

/centers-and-divisions/ipr/emo/election-security-workshops-and-exercises

Election security workshops, tabletop exercises, and operational exercises can help state and local managers identifying gaps, weaknesses, and risks.

to an election site incident. Conduct a cybersecurity risk assessment for election systems, networks and processes. Prioritize and support the security and availability of infrastructure systems ... in elections.  The risk of overlapping incidents — such as major weather events or cyberattacks — affecting election continuity of operations. gray half

intersections: Issue 3, March 2023

/our-media/newsletters/intersections/issue-3

Intersections, Issue 3, CNA news digest of China’s efforts to acquire Western technology, U.S. and partner efforts to protect technology for national security.

a critical mineral as one that is "necessary for the manufacture of high technology devices, national defense applications, and green growth-related industries," yet "is at risk for supply disruption ... regulation to require data exports leaving the PRC to undergo security assessment. According to December 2022 guidelines issued by the PRC State Council, data transmissions that cross the PRC border

Preparing for Tomorrows Threats Overcoming Obstacles

/reports/2021/10/preparing-for-tomorrows-threats-overcoming-obstacles

Preparing for future threats is a vital concern for US strategists. Innovation is one way to confront the threats we may face in the future, but achieving innovation presents organizational, cultural, decisionmaking, and technological challenges. To help strategists and policy-makers navigate these obstacles, CNA’s National Security Seminar (NSS) convened three experts to share their perspectives from their service at different offices within the Pentagon: General James T. Conway (US Marine Corps, ret.), the 34th Commandant of the Marine Corps; Dr. Jamie M. Morin, former Director of Cost Assessment and Program Evaluation (CAPE) at the Department of Defense; and Dr. Francis G. Hoffman, Distinguished Research Fellow at National Defense University, who was instrumental in authoring the 2018 National Defense Strategy (NDS). The discussion, moderated by CNA’s Dr. Carter Malkasian, was divided into two parts: the first identified obstacles to innovation, and the second looked at how to overcome those obstacles. The event was recorded and is available online.

the Pentagon: General James T. Conway (US Marine Corps, ret.), the 34th Commandant of the Marine Corps; Dr. Jamie M. Morin, former Director of Cost Assessment and Program Evaluation (CAPE) at the Department ... of Cost Assessment and Program Evaluation (CAPE) at the Department of Defense; and Dr. Francis G. Hoffman, Distinguished Research Fellow at National Defense University, who was instrumental ... level, mission-oriented goals for innovation. The focus on long-term development and acquisition means that commitments can last for generations, entailing significant status quo bias and risk

Law Enforcement Officer Safety

/reports/2021/07/law-enforcement-officer-safety

This brief provides an accessible resource for law enforcement agencies, line officers, and their stakeholders (e.g., policy-makers, training instructors) to inform the development of targeted training, policies, and practices to promote officer safety while in the line of duty.

assaults, injuries, and line-of-duty deaths. Using machine learning techniques, CNA is producing a risk assessment model to link incident characteristics with officer safety outcomes. This work also ... of increased risk for law enforcement officers. Law enforcement officers (hereafter, “officers”) respond to some of the most unpredictable, traumatic, and violent encounters of any profession.1 Although

What Makes Great Power Relations and Why Compete

/reports/2020/01/what-makes-great-power-relations-and-why-compete

What does “great power competition” mean? Why might it be happening? This paper deconstructs such questions.

principle may narrow policymakers’ assessment of global events. These vulnerabilities center on the role of cooperation in great power dynamics. Most IR frameworks encourage, in at least some ... risk obscuring the reality that allies can and do compete with one another, just as adversaries can cooperate. Cornell Overfield Joshua Tallis /reports/2020/01/DIM-2019-U-021755-1Rev.pdf

Use of Predictive Analytics

/reports/2020/10/use-of-predictive-analytics

This issue brief is a product created through a partnership between BJA and CNA. The Using Analytics to Improve Officer Safety work examines granular incident data from 2015–2019 from several local law enforcement agencies to identify incident characteristics (characteristics specific to the incident and related to officer tactical response) associated with officer assaults, injuries, and line-of-duty deaths. Using machine learning techniques, CNA is producing a risk assessment model to link incident characteristics with officer safety outcomes. This work also entails working with participating agencies to identify best practices and recommendations to reduce risks to officer safety in the line of duty.

to officer tactical response) associated with officer assaults, injuries, and line-of-duty deaths. Using machine learning techniques, CNA is producing a risk assessment model to link incident ... that informs crime prevention strategies. For example, agencies across the US have implemented a number of strategies (e.g., hot spot detection, targeted offender lists, and risk terrain modeling) and software programs that use a variety of predictive analytics to forecast where and when crimes are most likely to occur and to identify offenders and groups or individuals at risk of becoming