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china ai and autonomy report: Issue 4, December 2, 2021

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The China AI and Autonomy Report, issue 4, is a biweekly newsletter published by CNA, on artificial intelligence and autonomy in China.

of unmanned systems.   An article in the   PLA Daily , the official newspaper of the PLA, titled   “Unmanned Weapons: ‘Revolution’ or Abuse,”   discusses the increasing use of unmanned systems ... or attempted killings of Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi, Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Quds Force Commander Qasem Soleimani, and Iranian nuclear

pla update: Issue 18, February 20, 2024

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PLA Update, Issue 18, is a CNA China Studies Program monthly newsletter, with summaries of Chinese media coverage of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA).

trends as contributing to the erosion of global governance: Accelerating worldwide impacts of climate change Increasing risks of "nuclear leakage and proliferation" Increasing terrorism ... "lethal autonomous weapons systems" in recent years by the US and its allies and partners could create "killer robots." US efforts to integrate AI into military and strategic decision-making could

AI and Autonomous Technologies in the War in Ukraine

/reports/2023/10/ai-and-autonomous-technologies-in-the-war-in-ukraine

A survey of artificial intelligence in the war in Ukraine finds AI use has had a limited effect on escalation, but this may change with extensive use of AI.

of nuclear weapons and conflict spreading to include other parties. The last section assesses how AI and autonomous technologies may affect strategic stability between the United States and Russia

North Korea A Case Study of Asymmetric Relations

/reports/2021/10/north-korea-a-case-study-of-asymmetric-relations

Examining North Korea as a case study for asymmetric relations and the issue of its nuclear weapons development as the threat to status quo in the international order.

North Korea A Case Study of Asymmetric Relations North Korea: A Case Study of Asymmetric Relations Examining North Korea as a case study for asymmetric relations and the issue of its nuclear weapons ... burgeoning nuclear program. North Korea, on the other hand, has remained relatively immune to US pressure diplomacy aimed at curtailing its nuclear program, taking only limited and reversible steps ... ) divergence between the two powers on the relative value of North Korea’s nuclear program, 3) contentment versus dissatisfaction with the status quo, and 4) North Korea’s fear of becoming even weaker

Artificial Intelligence in Russia Issue 18

/reports/2021/01/artificial-intelligence-in-russia-issue-18

This report, the eighteenth in a series of biweekly updates, is part of an effort by CNA to provide timely, accurate, and relevant information and analysis of the field of civilian and military artificial intelligence (AI) in Russia and, in particular, how Russia is applying AI to its military capabilities. It relies on Russian-language open source material.

Developments International Collaboration Article: General Staff Journal Discusses Military AI, AI in Nuclear Weapons Spotlight: S-500 Prometey The following preview shows the first item

cna talks: Nuclear Policy After the War in Ukraine

/our-media/podcasts/cna-talks/2022/06/nuclear-policy-after-the-war-in-ukraine

Since the end of the Cold War, the threat of nuclear weapons has largely faded from popular consciousness. However, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and President Vladimir Putin’s nuclear threats have brought the issue back into focus. In this episode of CNA Talks, we are discussing nuclear policy and strategy, and how things have shifted since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Nuclear Policy After the War in Ukraine Since the end of the Cold War, the threat of nuclear weapons has largely faded from popular consciousness. However, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and President Vladimir Putin’s nuclear threats have brought the issue back into focus. In this episode of CNA Talks, we are discussing nuclear policy and strategy, and how things have shifted since Russia’s ... weapons policy, and nuclear strategy. Mary Chesnut   is an Associate Research Analyst in CNA’s   Russia Studies Program , where she studies Russian nuclear weapons and nuclear strategy. Further

New Life for New START is a First Step for Nuclear Talks

/our-media/indepth/2021/01/new-life-for-new-start-is-a-first-step-for-nuclear-talks

Just over 24 hours into the new Biden administration, the Washington Post broke the news that the newly sworn in President plans to accept Russia’s proposal to extend the 2010 New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty.

) for an additional five years. Though New START alone is not sufficient for a world of new weapons and rising nuclear powers, the decision to extend New START was a critical and prudent choice ... the survivability of their nuclear deterrent. From the U.S. point of view, Russia’s pursuit of various “exotic” dual-capable weapons that can carry either nuclear or conventional warheads and Russia ... engagement from mid- and senior-level officials as well as their staff on issues they may not have in their day-to-day portfolios. By breaking down stovepipes across nuclear weapons, conventional

Can Kim Jong Un Really Denuclearize?

/our-media/indepth/2019/04/can-kim-jong-un-realy-denuclearize

A fundamental question facing U.S. policymakers is whether North Korea intends to denuclearize. Most Pyongyang-watchers believe this is an impossibility, at least for the near term.

of the munitions industry are sending thousands of petitions to our supreme leadership not to abandon nuclear weapons at any cost." The notion, therefore, that Kim could act with impunity ... , the wider population. Only then could Kim foresee a future where he is celebrated as the father of economic reform, rather than tolerated as a third-generation despot with nuclear weapons. This article ... Pyongyang-watchers believe this is an impossibility, at least for the near term. The nuclear program has been a dream of North Korean leaders since the end of the Korean War — a deterrent against regime

North Korea's Strategic Surprise in the Yellow Sea: A Future Scenario

/our-media/indepth/2022/01/north-koreas-strategic-surprise-in-the-yellow-sea

Markus Garlauskas presents a fictional future Yellow Sea conflict scenario, following the consequences of a surprise attack by North Korea against South Korea.

with President Trump. Dismissed as mere “short range” missiles, the tests did not attract the international attention and additional sanctions that intercontinental ballistic missiles or nuclear weapons had—so ... Korea's continued weapons development alongside the rising assertiveness of the People's Republic of China (PRC). [Excerpts from “Chapter 15: A Mortal Wound,” The History of the United ... now know the premediated attack was a calculated risk. Pyongyang gambled that it had chosen the right time and place to surprise its more powerful adversaries with new weapons. Pyongyang also bet big

Ukraine’s Ripple Effect on Russia’s Indo-Pacific Horizon

/our-media/indepth/2023/01/ukraines-ripple-effect-on-russias-indo-pacific-horizon

Elizabeth Wishnick examines how Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has impacted the country’s economic and strategic prospects with the Asia-Pacific states.

 and called their partnership a stabilizing factor in an increasingly difficult geopolitical environment. While Xi has spoken out against nuclear threats  in the context of the ongoing war ... million helicopter contract in favor of a U.S. equivalent, and even Vietnam, which had been purchasing 70% of its weapons from Russia, its longtime partner, is now considering other options for some systems ... , in responding to Russia on Ukraine, South Korea is keeping an eye on what lessons North Korea might be drawing, such as the value of nuclear threats and the importance of keeping its nuclear arsenal. Moreover