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Israel’s New Government is the Most Far-Right in its History

/our-media/indepth/2023/01/israels-new-government-is-the-most-far-right-in-its-history

San Plapinger examines how Benjamin Netanyahu’s new hardline government could impact the country’s relations with Jordan, Egypt, Bahrain and the UAE.

Israel’s New Government is the Most Far-Right in its History San Plapinger examines how Benjamin Netanyahu’s new hardline government could impact the country’s relations with Jordan, Egypt, Bahrain and the UAE. /images/InDepth/2023/BN-Resided.jpg Israel’s New Government is the Most Far-Right in its History Samuel Plapinger Samuel Plapinger is a Research Scientist with CNA’s Special Activities ... of what has been described by several observers as the most far-right government in Israeli history. The coalition includes what were once fringe political parties or politicians who, in some cases

New Leadership For a New Generation

/our-media/indepth/2022/08/new-leadership-for-a-new-generation

Jonathan Schroden examines how special operations commanders can adjust their leadership styles to attract and retain millennials and Generation Z cadets.

narratives and informed opinions about the characteristics, traits and attitudes of younger generations, as well as the requirements of military leadership on the future battlefield. We compared leadership ... is there an overarching philosophy of leadership that spans the military services that might be applied to SOF as a joint force. SOF do not have a codified set of leadership traits . While we were able ... are the most well-educated Americans in history) and to the increasingly analytic and technical knowledge requirements of future battlefield leaders. The evolution of SOF leadership traits is partially

The Other Front Line in Ukraine: The Will to Fight

/our-media/indepth/2024/02/the-will-to-fight-in-ukraine

On the second anniversary of the invasion, Russia and Ukraine are trying to break the other’s will to fight, in front-line, Black Sea, and aerial campaigns.

their ultimate aims. How to win a war History suggests that the war is unlikely to be decided by capturing a certain quantity of territory. Actually winning the war rather requires persuading ... . Importantly, the destruction of a significant percentage of the Russian fleet has the potential to reduce morale among Russian military leaders, potentially affecting Russia’s will to continue its fight ... , breaking a much larger power’s will to fight in a war of attrition can take a very long time. This history highlights why most analysts believe the two-year-old war between Russia and Ukraine is likely

The U.S. is Close to a Deal with the Taliban: What’s Next?

/our-media/indepth/2020/02/the-us-is-close-to-a-deal-with-the-taliban-whats-next

Last Friday, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced on Twitter that the United States had officially "come to an understanding with the Taliban on a significant reduction in violence across Afghanistan."

ceasefire of 2018 demonstrated the ability of Taliban leaders to control their fighters, while detractors have pointed to rifts between the political and military councils of the group’s leadership ... , Ashraf Ghani, by just 0.6 points more than the 50 percent vote tally he needed to secure a first-round victory. But voter turnout was the lowest in Afghanistan’s history. About two million votes ... , sustained actions in order to translate the words of a deal into lasting change on the ground. Rubin writes that “an annex [to the deal] establishes a center where the U.S. military and Taliban

Weighing the Costs of War and Peace in Afghanistan

/our-media/indepth/2019/04/weighing-the-costs-of-war-and-peace-in-afghanistan

The U.S. Special Representative for Afghanistan Reconciliation, Amb. Zalmay Khalilzad, tweeted that "peace requires agreement on four issues: counter-terrorism assurances, troop withdrawal."

  repeating its history from Vietnam  by looking for a " decent interval " between the end of the war and the inevitable collapse of the government in Kabul. There are many reasons for all ... and economic. The number of personnel from the United States and its coalition partners being killed in the war these days is relatively small (e.g., the  total number  of U.S. military and Defense ... in operating costs for the U.S. military, $750 million in economic aid, and a host of other categories of spending such as logistics and sustainment. This does not include the costs borne by the rest

ai with ai: All Good Things

/our-media/podcasts/ai-with-ai/season-6/6-8

For the final (for now?) episode of AI with AI, Andy and Dave discuss the latest in AI news and research, including a political declaration from the US Department of State on the responsible military use of AI and autonomy. NATO begins work on an AI certification standard. The IEEE introduces a new program that provides free access to AI ethics and governance standards. Reported in February, but performed in December, A joint Dept of Defense team performed 12 flight tests (over 17 hours) in which AI agents piloted Lockheed Martin’s X-62A VISTA, an F-16 variant. Andy provides a run-down of a large number of recent ChatGPT-related stories. Wolfram “explains” how ChatGPT works. Paul Scharre publishes Four Battlegrounds: Power in the Age of AI. And to come full circle, we began this podcast 6 years ago with the story of AlphaGo beating the world champion. So we close the podcast with news that a non-professional Go player, Kellin Pelrine, beat a top AI system 14 games to one having discovered a ‘not super-difficult method for humans to beat the machines. A heartfelt thanks to you all for listening over the years!

military use of AI and autonomy. NATO begins work on an AI certification standard. The IEEE introduces a new program that provides free access to AI ethics and governance standards. Reported in February ... Good Things Announcements / News U.S. Dept. of State Releases Political Declaration on Responsible Military Use of AI and Autonomy What does this all mean? Video – REAIM 2023 REAIM 2023 ... : Press Release DARPA: Press Release Video Breaking Defense: Additional details and history of VISTA ChatGPT is here to stay, Microsoft and Google join the Fray, and it’s Getting Scary

What is a Chinese Communist Party Plenum?

/our-media/indepth/2024/06/what-is-a-chinese-communist-party-plenum

Plenums of the Central Committee help assess future directions for China. The Third Plenum on economic issues is of critical interest for US national security.

 is an accessible book I have previously used to teach undergraduates. If you want a fuller history that examines both the Maoist Period and the Reform Era, then Lieberthal’s Governing China remains ... that be necessary. Because of the prominent role that China now plays in US national security, promoting peacetime national security interests means more than monitoring China’s military modernization

The AUKUS Submarine Agreement

/our-media/indepth/2021/09/aukus-submarine-agreement

President Biden announced the creation of a new trilateral defense partnership to develop a nuclear-powered submarine fleet for Australia between the United States, Australia and the United Kingdom, called AUKUS.

is to develop a nuclear-powered submarine fleet for Australia through the sharing of U.S. technology. While not specifically called out by name during the announcement, China’s increasing military power ... . Two days after AUKUS was announced, France recalled its ambassadors to the United States and Australia for the first time in its diplomatic history with the two countries. French Foreign Minister

China, Malaysia and the South China Sea

/our-media/indepth/2021/07/china-malaysia-and-the-south-china-sea

On June 1, the Royal Malaysian Air Force announced that 16 People's Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) aircraft, flying in “tactical formation,” had entered Malaysia's Flight Information Region.

toward China in Kuala Lumpur. Malaysia has a history of bureaucratic disjointedness on the South China Sea issue, and because Malaysia’s foreign ministry objected only after the Air Force released ... , it is unclear how long Kuala Lumpur can continue to strike this balance. If Chinese military and paramilitary activities within Malaysia’s claimed Exclusive Economic Zone continue to increase, Kuala Lumpur may

A Better Approach to Containing Domestic Violent Extremism

/our-media/indepth/2021/07/containing-domestic-violent-extremism

After 20 years of intense focus on jihadist terrorism, U.S. policymakers have raised domestic violent extremism to the top of the counterterrorism agenda.

. And today we appear to be entering a new wave of white-supremacist and anti-state violence. If history is any guide, terrorist groups can be dismantled and perpetrators put behind bars, but terrorism itself ... is the greatly diminished capacity of groups like al-Qaeda and Islamic State to mount or even inspire large-scale attacks against American targets after two decades of relentless U.S. military