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Paul Saunders: /our-experts/saunders-paul; Paul Saunders is a CNA expert in Russia's foreign policy and national security strategy and Russian decision-making.; Saunders-Paul Paul Saunders is a CNA expert in Russia's foreign policy and national security strategy and Russian decision-making. /images/Experts/Saunders-Paul.jpg Paul Saunders is an expert ... Interest. Saunders earned a Master of Arts in Russian and East European studies and a Master of Arts in political science from the University of Michigan. He is proficient in Russian and conversational in German. Paul Saunders Research Analyst Featured Squares white Explore more
coming in from the cold: The Bear Came Over the Mountain: /our-media/podcasts/coming-in-from-the-cold/episode-18-the-bear-came-over-the-mountain; Paul Saunders and Alex Powell join Bill to discuss the Soviet Invasion of Afghanistan, and how world powers continue to make the same mistakes.; Episode 18 | The Bear Came Over the Mountain Paul Saunders and Alex Powell join Bill to discuss the Soviet Invasion of Afghanistan, and how world powers continue to make the same mistakes. The Bear Came Over the Mountain Biographies Alex Powell is an expert on terrorist group tactics, counterterrorism, and special operations forces (SOF). Regionally, he focuses on South and Southeast Asia and the Middle East. Paul Saunders is an expert on Russia, overseeing research on that country's foreign energy policy, foreign policy, national security policy and domestic politics, as well
Mobilizing Compatriots Russias Strategy: /reports/2015/mobilizing-compatriots-russias-strategy; As part of its wider efforts to assess the implications of Russia’s foreign and national security policy, CNA initiated this study to examine Russia’s objectives, policy, and strategic and operational calculus with respect to ethnic Russian, Russian-speaking, and other potentially sympathetic populations residing in other former Soviet states. This is a quick-response, three-month effort designed to stimulate public discourse around Russia’s efforts to use these communities, which Moscow defines as compatriots, to further its policy goals. The study highlights several important implications that U.S. policy-makers may consider in formulating policy toward Russia and the countries in which these compatriot populations reside. After releasing this report, the study team plans to organize an event to discuss these topics at CNA headquarters in fall 2015.; of ethnic Russians in their populations are Estonia, Kazakhstan, and Latvia (23-27%) and Ukraine (17%). Vera Zakem Paul Saunders /reports/2015/DOP-2015-U-011689-1Rev.pdf
Russian Approaches to Competition: /reports/2021/10/russian-approaches-to-competition; Russian strategy is best characterized as offensive, seeking to revise the status quo, resulting in an activist foreign policy. The strategy does not eschew selective engagement in areas of mutual interest, but it is not premised on accommodation, concessions, or acceptance of the current balance of power. Instead, it emphasizes building the military means necessary for direct competition, and using them to enable indirect approaches for pursuing state objectives. Direct means range from conventional and nuclear force modernization, expansion of force structure in the European theater, exercises, brinksmanship, and use of force to attain vital interests. They deter US responses, threaten escalation, and create freedom of maneuver for Russian foreign policy. These are principally ways of compressing the opponent, and focusing on the main theater in the competition, which for Moscow is Europe. Indirect means in turn include military deployments abroad to peripheral theaters, covert action, use of proxies and mercenary groups, political warfare and information confrontation. These instruments are interrelated, with direct approaches, tied closely to military capability or classical forms of deterrence, enabling the indirect approach, which is the principal way by which Moscow pursues political aims. The logic of Russian strategy is that absent the ability to generate strong economic or technological means, Moscow is best served with approaches that reduce US performance by disorganizing its opponent's efforts, reducing cohesion, and employing asymmetric means in the competition.; /reports/2021/10/RussianApproachPageImage.jpg Russia Studies DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release: distribution unlimited. 84 DRM-2021-U-029439-Final Mary Chesnut Paul Saunders Kasey
Mapping Russian Media Network: /reports/2018/01/mapping-russian-media-network; Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia has used media as an important instrument and lever of influence. The role of media in promoting Russian foreign policy and exerting the influence of President Vladimir Putin has become increasingly visible since the conflict Ukraine and other domestic and international confrontations began. CNA has undertaken an effort to map the Russian media environment and examine Russian decision-making as it relates to the media. This report provides an overview of the role that the media plays in Russian foreign policy. Specifically, we examine Russia’s media environment, Russia’s decision- making related to media and messaging, including the drivers and boundaries of that decision-making. We evaluate the role of Vladimir Putin and his inner circle, and finally, we examine the role that Russia’s media and messaging plays in external influence. In addition, we highlight that while media is a key instrument of influence, culture, politics, and business are also important in broader Russian influence efforts abroad. Furthermore, this report outlines the way that decision-making and messaging is carried out by Vladimir Putin and his closest advisors through a series of scenarios that range from crisis to steady state. Finally, we provide overarching takeaways for policy makers and the international community to consider in understanding Russia’s media environment and Russian decision-making in the media.; , such as preserving freedom of action, winning leverage through ambiguity, or allowing its adversaries to save face. Vera Zakem Paul Saunders /reports/2018/01/DRM-2017-U-015367-3Rev.pdf /reports/2018/01
Hyping the Russia-China Pipeline: /our-media/indepth/2020/01/hyping-the-russia-china-pipeline; Russian President Vladimir Putin said that the opening of the Power of Siberia natural gas pipeline 'brings the Russian-Chinese strategic partnership in the energy sector to a whole new level.; Hyping the Russia-China Pipeline Russian President Vladimir Putin said that the opening of the Power of Siberia natural gas pipeline 'brings the Russian-Chinese strategic partnership in the energy sector to a whole new level. /images/InDepth/Post30.png Hyping the Russia-China Pipeline 30 Paul Saunders Marking the opening of the Power of Siberia natural gas pipeline between Russia and China in early December, Russian President Vladimir Putin said that the pipeline “brings the Russian-Chinese strategic partnership in the energy sector to a whole new level.” His counterpart, Chinese President