The
Youth Population
At the
close of FY 2000, the Total Force stood at just under 1.4 million active
duty members and more than 865,000 Selected Reservists. (Data for the
past half century are shown in Figure 1.1, with some projections for the
future.) A booming economy, with full employment, increasing college enrollment
rates, not to mention attitudes on the part of youth that may not be in
sync with military enlistment, present challenges to recruiting todays
youth for tomorrows military. Recruit marketing, amid the multiple
options available to the next generation, must not only reach youth, but
inspire the volunteer spirit among them, men and women, majority and minority
members alike. Recruiting challenges of recent years have led the Services
to consider alternative venues for marketing the military, including,
but not limited to the internet, auto racing, as well as other professional
sporting events. Current recruiting initiatives aimed at addressing the
various choices youth have as they enter the workforce are being devised
to target those bound for two- and four-year college programs, college
dropouts and stopouts, promising high school dropouts, and Hispanic youth.
Figure
1.1. The population of 18-year-old males and Service non-prior service
(NPS) recruiting requirements for fiscal years 19502010 (projected).
Attracting
and keeping quality troops cannot be taken for granted. In the past, recruiting
goals were met in the face of the declining male youth population of the
1980s in large part because of enlistment and retention trends of minorities
and women. Minority groups may indeed play a larger role in the future
of the military as American society becomes increasingly diverse. By 2020,
when babies born today will be eligible to join the military, the Census
Bureau projects an increasing minority population, particularly for Hispanics
and Asian and Pacific Islanders. Projections for the next 100 years portend
a majority minority scenario, with a nearly 50-50 split among 18- to 24-year
olds in 2040. Such projected changes in the civilian population warrant
continued monitoring of representation in the military. Particular attention
must be paid to equal opportunity policies and perceptions of fair treatment
in the Services by members of all racial/ethnic groups.
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